American Football
Insane Divisional Round NFL Picks and Game-Changing Insights That Guarantee an Epic Playoff Ride! ππ₯
For the enthusiasts of sports betting, here are my picks for the NFL divisional round. It’s essential to clarify that the team logos indicate my predictions for the game winners, not necessarily covering the spread. Following the picks, I’ll highlight a few teams I favor based on the spread.
1. Texans at Ravens (-9.5):
The Ravens are robust favorites, yet caution is advised as Lamar Jackson, the likely league MVP, has a somewhat mixed playoff history. The Ravens, deemed by many as the best team in the NFL, boast an impressive track record this season, dominating in DVOA and point differentials. The Texans, led by the promising C.J. Stroud, are coming off a decisive wildcard win over the Browns. While tempted by the 9.5 points, the Ravens’ overall strength suggests they can handle the Texans and advance.
2. Packers at 49ers (-9.5):
The 49ers might prefer facing the Buccaneers, but they’re up against the red-hot Packers led by Jordan Love. Love has been exceptional in recent games, displaying prowess against various opponents. However, the well-rested 49ers, particularly Christian McCaffrey, with an advantage in the run game, could secure a comfortable victory. Despite the Packers’ effective strategy against the Cowboys, relying heavily on McCaffrey may prove pivotal for the Niners.
3. Buccaneers at Lions (-6):
Jared Goff has historically excelled against Todd Bowles’ defenses, presenting a favorable matchup for the Lions. With the Lions boasting the fifth-ranked rushing offense in 2023, the Buccaneers, aiming to neutralize this threat, might force Goff into a high-volume passing game. If Goff can avoid critical mistakes, the Lions’ offensive line could outshine the Buccaneers. This matchup holds the potential for a high-scoring affair, showcasing both teams’ offensive playmakers.
4. Chiefs at Bills (-2.5):
The Bills and Chiefs delivered an unforgettable playoff game in their last encounter, marked by extraordinary performances from Josh Allen and Patrick Mahomes. Despite historical success when Mahomes is an underdog, this Chiefs team has shown vulnerability throughout the season. The Bills, currently in superb form, are my pick to triumph in this clash. Betting against Mahomes and Andy Reid in the playoffs is undoubtedly risky, but the Bills seem poised for success this year.
β’ Picks against the spread: Texans (+9.5), Bills (-2.5).
β’ Seasonal straight-up record: 172-108 (0.614)
β’ Seasonal ATS record: 47-46-6 (0.505)
β’ 2022 season, straight up: 176-107-2 (0.621)
β’ 2022 season, ATS: 50-50 (0.500)
β’ 2021 season, straight up: 179-105-1 (0.630)
β’ 2021 season, ATS: 46-40-1 (0.534)
β’ 2020 season, straight up: 169-81-1 (0.675)
β’ 2020 season, ATS: 45-37-3 (0.547)
β’ 2019 season, straight up: 160-107-1 (0.601)
β’ 2019 season, ATS: 42-35-3 (0.544)
β’ 2018 season, straight up: 173-94-2 (0.647)
β’ 2018 season, ATS: 41-36-2 (0.532)
β’ 2017 season, straight up: 181-86 (0.678)
β’ 2017 season, ATS: 36-32-2 (0.529)
β’ 2016 season, straight up: 171-94-2 (0.644)
β’ 2016 season, ATS: 41-34 (0.547)
β’ 2015 season, straight up: 163-93 (0.637)
β’ 2015 season, ATS: 46-30-2 (0.605)
β’ ATS Record Over the Last 9 Years: 392-337-19 (0.537)
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